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Recs for using Global Upgrade Certificates for SEA-CDG RT in mid-June?

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Unfamiliar with Delta, trying to lend a hand to my mother-in-law who is Delta Medallion. I assume she has Global Upgrade Certs (hasn't used any yet), so looking at a roundtrip ticket SEA-CDG. Business class seems small on the A330. 15/29 on Business look available on the outbound. Only 9/28 look available in Premium Select.

Is this going to be a really tough upgrade to clear? Purchasing Premium Select seems like a a must-do, even though the cash rate is $3,632. I imagine many (if not all?) Premium Select will be trying to upgrade. This is for ~mid-June so we are about 6-7 weeks away.

One alternative: if the upgrade looks very unlikely, I suppose she could downgrade to regular Economy then take the credit in the days running up the flight? Thanks in advance for any tips!




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